Unpacking the November Inflation Numbers in the United States

Unpacking the November Inflation Numbers in the United States

As we approach the end of 2023, the economic landscape in the United States continues to be a topic of discussion—and concern—for consumers and small business owners alike. One key factor? Inflation. But the latest news is a bit of a bright spot to end the year. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November 2023 showed that inflation sits at 3.1 percent, which is still higher than the Fed’s 2 percent target and a slight dip from October’s inflation numbers. Combine this with the November jobs report, which showed an addition of 199,000 jobs, plus low unemployment, and you’ve got good news for all. With that, let’s talk through some of inflation’s contributing factors and how it affects small businesses.

Key Contributors to Inflation

Energy Prices. The surge in energy prices has been a significant contributor to overall inflationary pressures. However, the cost of gasoline and heating fuels experienced a notable dip in November—down 6 percent from October, which is a huge reason why inflation is lower this month. To compare, prices of gas were up 10.6 percent in August thanks to the crude oil market. 

Supply Chain Disruptions. Persistent supply chain disruptions have played a crucial role in driving up prices for goods and services. The ongoing challenges in the supply chain, compounded by issues like labor shortages and logistical bottlenecks, have resulted in increased production costs for businesses. This, in turn, has been passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices.

Housing Market. The housing market has also been a key factor in the inflation equation. The continued demand for housing, coupled with limited inventory, has led to escalating home prices. Additionally, rising costs of construction materials have contributed to higher housing-related expenses, affecting both renters and potential homebuyers.

Implications for Businesses

Businesses across the board are tasked with closely monitoring inflationary trends and making informed decisions to navigate the evolving economic landscape. Rising input costs, driven by factors like energy prices and supply chain disruptions, may necessitate strategic adjustments in pricing and operational efficiencies. Additionally, businesses should explore innovative solutions to mitigate the impact of inflation on their bottom line.

While there is optimism on the horizon for small businesses, there is still room for concern. There’s war waging in the Middle East, and economic growth is expected to be soft in 2024. Interest rates remain high, making access to capital more difficult for small business owners trying to hire staff and invest in their company. With that, it’s best for small business owners to approach November’s data with cautious optimism.

As businesses continue to navigate economic ups and downs, adaptability and a proactive approach will be key to keeping your head up. If you’re considering a small business loan to help stay viable, make sure you’re doing your part to find the loan company that will work best for you. ARF Financial prides itself in being a partner to all of our clients, and our business loans and lines of credit are available for business owners nationwide who otherwise may not be able to get the funds they need. Stop by today to learn why our clients turn to us time and time again to help fund their success.